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1.
Rev Panam Salud Publica ; 48: e23, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38562959

RESUMO

The Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) and its Member States have been leading the efforts to eradicate wild poliovirus in the Region of Americas since smallpox's successful elimination in 1971. The region became the first to be certified free of wild poliovirus in 1994. However, in July 2022, an unvaccinated patient with no recent travel history was diagnosed with poliomyelitis in the United States of America. In response to the emergence of a circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus in the United States, PAHO established the Polio Incident Management Support Team. This team has been coordinating response efforts, focusing on: coordination, planning, and monitoring; risk communication and community engagement; surveillance and case investigation; vaccination; and rapid response. In this paper, we identified and documented best practices observed following establishment of the Incident Management Support Team (September 2022-2023) through a comprehensive review and analysis of various data sources and country-specific data from the polio surveillance dashboard. The aim was to share these best practices, highlighting technical support and implementation of polio measures by Member States. Despite several challenges, the Americas region remains polio-free. Polio risk is declining, with a July 2023 assessment showing fewer countries at medium, high, and very high risk. This progress reflects improved immunization coverage, surveillance, containment, health determinants, and outbreak preparedness and response. The PAHO Polio Incident Management Support Team has played a key role in supporting these efforts.


La Organización Panamericana de la Salud (OPS) y sus Estados Miembros han liderado los esfuerzos para erradicar el poliovirus salvaje en la Región de las Américas desde la eliminación exitosa de la viruela en 1971. En 1994, la Región fue la primera en obtener la certificación de libre del poliovirus salvaje. Sin embargo, en julio del 2022, se diagnosticó poliomielitis a un paciente de Estados Unidos de América no vacunado y sin antecedentes de viajes recientes. Para responder a la aparición de un poliovirus circulante derivado de la vacuna en ese país, la OPS creó el equipo de apoyo a la gestión de incidentes de poliomielitis. Este equipo ha asumido la coordinación de los esfuerzos de respuesta y se ha centrado en la coordinación, la planificación y seguimiento; la comunicación de riesgos y la participación de la comunidad; la vigilancia e investigación de casos; la vacunación; y la respuesta rápida. En este artículo, se determinan y documentan las mejores prácticas observadas después de la creación del equipo de apoyo a la gestión de incidentes (septiembre del 2022-2023) mediante una revisión y un análisis pormenorizados de datos procedentes de diversas fuentes y de datos específicos de los países del panel de vigilancia de la poliomielitis. El objetivo fue poner en común estas mejores prácticas y resaltar el apoyo técnico y la aplicación de medidas contra la poliomielitis por parte de los Estados Miembros. A pesar de los diversos desafíos, la Región de las Américas se mantiene libre de poliomielitis. El riesgo de esta enfermedad es cada vez menor, y la evaluación de julio del 2023 muestra una disminución del número de países con un riesgo medio, alto o muy alto. Este progreso refleja la mejora de la cobertura de inmunización, la vigilancia, la contención, los determinantes de la salud y la preparación y respuesta ante brotes. El equipo de apoyo a la gestión de incidentes relacionados con la poliomielitis de la OPS ha desempeñado un papel fundamental para brindar apoyo a estas iniciativas.


Desde a eliminação bem-sucedida da varíola em 1971, a Organização Pan-Americana da Saúde (OPAS) e seus Estados Membros têm estado à frente de iniciativas para erradicar o poliovírus selvagem na Região das Américas. Em 1994, a região foi a primeira do mundo a ser certificada como livre do poliovírus selvagem. Entretanto, em julho de 2022, um paciente não vacinado e sem histórico de viagens recentes foi diagnosticado com poliomielite nos Estados Unidos da América. Em resposta ao surgimento de um poliovírus derivado de vacina circulante nos Estados Unidos, a OPAS criou a Equipe de Apoio à Gestão de Incidentes de Poliomielite. A equipe vem administrando os esforços de resposta, concentrando-se em: coordenação, planejamento e monitoramento; comunicação de risco e envolvimento da comunidade; vigilância e investigação de casos; vacinação; e resposta rápida. Neste documento, identificamos e documentamos as melhores práticas observadas após a criação da Equipe de Apoio à Gestão de Incidentes (setembro de 2022 a 2023) por meio de uma revisão e análise abrangentes de diversas fontes de dados e dados específicos de cada país fornecidos por meio do painel de vigilância da poliomielite. O objetivo foi compartilhar essas melhores práticas, destacando o apoio técnico e a implementação de medidas contra a poliomielite pelos Estados Membros. Apesar de vários desafios, a Região das Américas continua livre da poliomielite. Um levantamento de julho de 2023 demonstrou que o risco da poliomielite vem diminuindo, com menos países com risco médio, alto ou muito alto. Essa evolução é resultado de melhoras na cobertura vacinal, vigilância, contenção, preparação, determinantes de saúde e resposta a surtos. A Equipe de Apoio à Gestão de Incidentes de Poliomielite da OPAS foi fundamental para apoiar esses esforços.

2.
Vaccine ; 42(9): 2310-2316, 2024 Apr 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38438288

RESUMO

Following the COVID-19 pandemic, the Americas faced a significant decline in vaccination coverage as well as increased vaccine hesitancy. The objective of this paper is to summarize the challenges and opportunities outlined by the National Immunization Technical Advisory Groups (NITAGs) in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) and prioritize targeted interventions. The exploratory survey included open-ended questions on two primary components: challenges, and opportunities. Free-text comments presented by each NITAG were collated and classified using indicators and sub-indicators of the NITAG Maturity Assessment Tool (NMAT). Opportunities were classified thematically, and priority actions were generated from the responses. All 21 NITAGs in LAC, representing 40 countries, 76 % of which have been active for over a decade, responded to the survey. The most common challenges were establishment and composition (62 %), integration into policymaking (62 %), resources and secretariat (52 %), and stakeholder recognition (48 %). The distribution of responses was seen across the whole sample and did not suggest a more pronounced need in relation to year of establishment. Opportunities included maximizing the Regional NITAG Network of the Americas (RNA) to facilitate collaboration, information sharing, visibility, and communication; existing global, regional, and systemic analyses; the World Health Organization/Pan American Health Organization (WHO/PAHO) templates for standard operating procedures; twinning programs with mature NITAGs; and NITAGs in governance structures. Action plans were outlined to formalize the establishment of NITAGs and broaden their composition; strengthen decision-making and access to data resources; and enhance the credibility of evidence-based recommendations and their uptake by policymakers and the public. NITAG challenges are not unique to LAC. NITAGs have outlined a short-term prioritized action plan which is critical to enhancing NITAG value and importance in countries.


Assuntos
Comitês Consultivos , Pandemias , Humanos , América Latina , Política de Saúde , Programas de Imunização , Vacinação , Imunização , Região do Caribe
3.
Artigo em Inglês | PAHO-IRIS | ID: phr-59385

RESUMO

[ABSTRACT]. The Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) and its Member States have been leading the efforts to erad- icate wild poliovirus in the Region of Americas since smallpox's successful elimination in 1971. The region became the first to be certified free of wild poliovirus in 1994. However, in July 2022, an unvaccinated patient with no recent travel history was diagnosed with poliomyelitis in the United States of America. In response to the emergence of a circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus in the United States, PAHO established the Polio Inci- dent Management Support Team. This team has been coordinating response efforts, focusing on: coordination, planning, and monitoring; risk communication and community engagement; surveillance and case investiga- tion; vaccination; and rapid response. In this paper, we identified and documented best practices observed following establishment of the Incident Management Support Team (September 2022–2023) through a com- prehensive review and analysis of various data sources and country-specific data from the polio surveillance dashboard. The aim was to share these best practices, highlighting technical support and implementation of polio measures by Member States. Despite several challenges, the Americas region remains polio-free. Polio risk is declining, with a July 2023 assessment showing fewer countries at medium, high, and very high risk. This progress reflects improved immunization coverage, surveillance, containment, health determinants, and outbreak preparedness and response. The PAHO Polio Incident Management Support Team has played a key role in supporting these efforts.


[RESUMEN]. La Organización Panamericana de la Salud (OPS) y sus Estados Miembros han liderado los esfuerzos para erradicar el poliovirus salvaje en la Región de las Américas desde la eliminación exitosa de la viruela en 1971. En 1994, la Región fue la primera en obtener la certificación de libre del poliovirus salvaje. Sin embargo, en julio del 2022, se diagnosticó poliomielitis a un paciente de Estados Unidos de América no vacunado y sin antecedentes de viajes recientes. Para responder a la aparición de un poliovirus circulante derivado de la vacuna en ese país, la OPS creó el equipo de apoyo a la gestión de incidentes de poliomielitis. Este equipo ha asumido la coordinación de los esfuerzos de respuesta y se ha centrado en la coordinación, la planificación y seguimiento; la comunicación de riesgos y la participación de la comunidad; la vigilancia e investigación de casos; la vacunación; y la respuesta rápida. En este artículo, se determinan y documentan las mejores prácticas observadas después de la creación del equipo de apoyo a la gestión de incidentes (septiembre del 2022-2023) mediante una revisión y un análisis pormenorizados de datos procedentes de diversas fuentes y de datos específicos de los países del panel de vigilancia de la poliomielitis. El objetivo fue poner en común estas mejores prácticas y resaltar el apoyo técnico y la aplicación de medidas contra la poliomielitis por parte de los Estados Miembros. A pesar de los diversos desafíos, la Región de las Américas se mantiene libre de poliomielitis. El riesgo de esta enfermedad es cada vez menor, y la evaluación de julio del 2023 muestra una disminución del número de países con un riesgo medio, alto o muy alto. Este progreso refleja la mejora de la cobertura de inmunización, la vigilancia, la contención, los determinantes de la salud y la preparación y respuesta ante brotes. El equipo de apoyo a la gestión de incidentes relacionados con la poliomielitis de la OPS ha desempeñado un papel fundamental para brindar apoyo a estas iniciativas.


[RESUMO]. Desde a eliminação bem-sucedida da varíola em 1971, a Organização Pan-Americana da Saúde (OPAS) e seus Estados Membros têm estado à frente de iniciativas para erradicar o poliovírus selvagem na Região das Américas. Em 1994, a região foi a primeira do mundo a ser certificada como livre do poliovírus sel- vagem. Entretanto, em julho de 2022, um paciente não vacinado e sem histórico de viagens recentes foi diagnosticado com poliomielite nos Estados Unidos da América. Em resposta ao surgimento de um poliovírus derivado de vacina circulante nos Estados Unidos, a OPAS criou a Equipe de Apoio à Gestão de Incidentes de Poliomielite. A equipe vem administrando os esforços de resposta, concentrando-se em: coordenação, plane- jamento e monitoramento; comunicação de risco e envolvimento da comunidade; vigilância e investigação de casos; vacinação; e resposta rápida. Neste documento, identificamos e documentamos as melhores práticas observadas após a criação da Equipe de Apoio à Gestão de Incidentes (setembro de 2022 a 2023) por meio de uma revisão e análise abrangentes de diversas fontes de dados e dados específicos de cada país forne- cidos por meio do painel de vigilância da poliomielite. O objetivo foi compartilhar essas melhores práticas, destacando o apoio técnico e a implementação de medidas contra a poliomielite pelos Estados Membros. Apesar de vários desafios, a Região das Américas continua livre da poliomielite. Um levantamento de julho de 2023 demonstrou que o risco da poliomielite vem diminuindo, com menos países com risco médio, alto ou muito alto. Essa evolução é resultado de melhoras na cobertura vacinal, vigilância, contenção, preparação, determinantes de saúde e resposta a surtos. A Equipe de Apoio à Gestão de Incidentes de Poliomielite da OPAS foi fundamental para apoiar esses esforços.


Assuntos
Poliomielite , Cobertura Vacinal , Organização Pan-Americana da Saúde , América , Poliomielite , Cobertura Vacinal , Vigilância Sanitária , Organização Pan-Americana da Saúde , América , Poliomielite , Cobertura Vacinal , Vigilância Sanitária , Organização Pan-Americana da Saúde , América
4.
Lancet Reg Health Am ; 27: 100626, 2023 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38035125

RESUMO

Background: Vaccine effectiveness (VE) is essential to monitor the performance of vaccines and generate strategic information to guide decision making. We pooled data from six Latin American countries to estimate the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines in preventing laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 hospitalisation during three different pandemic waves from February 2021 to September 2022. Methods: We used a test-negative case-control design in hospitalised adults in Chile, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Guatemala, Paraguay, and Uruguay. We estimated adjusted VE by age group (18-64 and ≥65 years), vaccine type and product for primary series vaccination and booster vaccination and by time since last dose during the Omicron variant dominant period. We used mixed effects logistic regression models adjusting for sex, age, week of onset of symptom onset and pre-existing conditions with country fit as a random effect term. Findings: We included 15,241 severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) patients in the analysis. Among adults 18-64 years, VE estimates for primary series vaccination during pre-Delta and Delta periods ranged by product from 66.5% to 95.1% and from 33.5% to 88.2% for older adults. During the Omicron period, VE estimates for primary series were lower and decreased by time since last vaccination, but VE increased to between 26.4% and 57.4% when a booster was administered. Interpretation: mRNA and viral vector vaccines presented higher VE for both primary series and booster. While VE decreased over time, protection against severe COVID-19-associated hospitalisation increased when booster doses were administered. Vaccination with additional doses should be recommended, particularly for persons at increased risk of developing severe COVID-19. Funding: This work was supported by a grant from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) through cooperative agreements with the Pan American Health Organization/World Health Organization.

6.
Vaccine ; 41(31): 4554-4560, 2023 07 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37328348

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Vaccination is one of the most effective measures to prevent influenza illness and its complications; influenza vaccination remained important during the COVID-19 pandemic to prevent additional burden on health systems strained by COVID-19 demand. OBJECTIVES: We describe policies, coverage, and progress of seasonal influenza vaccination programs in the Americas during 2019-2021 and discuss challenges in monitoring and maintaining influenza vaccination coverage among target groups during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: We used data on influenza vaccination policies and vaccination coverage reported by countries/territories via the electronic Joint Reporting Form on Immunization (eJRF) for 2019-2021. We also summarized country vaccination strategies shared with PAHO. RESULTS: As of 2021, 39 (89 %) out of 44 reporting countries/territories in the Americas had policies for seasonal influenza vaccination. Countries/territories adapted health services and immunization delivery strategies using innovative approaches, such as new vaccination sites and expanded schedules, to ensure continuation of influenza vaccination during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, among countries/territories that reported data to eJRF in both 2019 and 2021, median coverage decreased; the percentage point decrease was 21 % (IQR = 0-38 %; n = 13) for healthcare workers, 10 % (IQR = -1.5-38 %; n = 12) for older adults, 21 % (IQR = 5-31 %; n = 13) for pregnant women, 13 % (IQR = 4.8-20.8 %; n = 8) for persons with chronic diseases, and 9 % (IQR = 3-27 %; n = 15) for children. CONCLUSIONS: Countries/territories in the Americas successfully adapted influenza vaccination delivery to continue vaccination services during the COVID-19 pandemic; however, reported influenza vaccination coverage decreased from 2019 to 2021. Reversing declines in vaccination will necessitate strategic approaches that prioritize sustainable vaccination programs across the life course. Efforts should be made to improve the completeness and quality of administrative coverage data. Lessons learned from COVID-19 vaccination, such as the rapid development of electronic vaccination registries and digital certificates, might facilitate advances in coverage estimation.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Vacinas contra Influenza , Influenza Humana , Criança , Humanos , Feminino , Gravidez , Idoso , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Influenza Humana/prevenção & controle , Estações do Ano , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , Vacinas contra COVID-19 , Vacinação , América/epidemiologia
7.
Int J Infect Dis ; 134: 39-44, 2023 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37201863

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: This study estimated the 2022 end-of-season influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) against severe acute respiratory illness (SARI) hospitalization in Chile, Paraguay, and Uruguay. METHODS: We pooled surveillance data from SARI cases in 18 sentinel surveillance hospitals in Chile (n = 9), Paraguay (n = 2), and Uruguay (n = 7) from March 16-November 30, 2022. VE was estimated using a test-negative design and logistic regression models adjusted for country, age, sex, presence of ≥1 comorbidity, and week of illness onset. VE estimates were stratified by influenza virus type and subtype (when available) and influenza vaccine target population, categorized as children, individuals with comorbidities, and older adults, defined per countries' national immunization policies. RESULTS: Among the 3147 SARI cases, there were 382 (12.1%) influenza test-positive case patients; 328 (85.9%) influenza case patients were in Chile, 33 (8.6%) were in Paraguay, and 21 (5.5%) were in Uruguay. In all countries, the predominant subtype was influenza A(H3N2) (92.6% of influenza cases). Adjusted VE against any influenza-associated SARI hospitalization was 33.8% (95% confidence interval: 15.3%, 48.2%); VE against influenza A(H3N2)-associated SARI hospitalization was 30.4% (95% confidence interval: 10.1%, 46.0%). VE estimates were similar across target populations. CONCLUSION: During the 2022 influenza season, influenza vaccination reduced the odds of hospitalization among those vaccinated by one-third. Health officials should encourage influenza vaccination in accordance with national recommendations.


Assuntos
Vírus da Influenza A Subtipo H1N1 , Vacinas contra Influenza , Influenza Humana , Criança , Humanos , Idoso , Recém-Nascido , Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Influenza Humana/prevenção & controle , Vírus da Influenza A Subtipo H3N2 , Estações do Ano , Paraguai/epidemiologia , Uruguai/epidemiologia , Chile/epidemiologia , Eficácia de Vacinas , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Vacinação , Vírus da Influenza B
8.
World J Urol ; 41(4): 1109-1115, 2023 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36932283

RESUMO

PURPOSE: To identify prognostic factors of failure in patients undergoing perineal urethrostomy (PU) with Blandy technique, with inverted U-shaped perineal flap. METHODS: This is a retrospective study of PU of non-oncological causes (2001-2017). Data of age, BMI, history of diabetes mellitus, etiology of urethral stricture, type of stricture, previous surgeries, dilatation and suprapubic catheter were collected. Failure was defined as the need for any instrumentation after surgery. Variables were analyzed by Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier curves were used for survival analysis. RESULTS: A total of 115 PU were performed. Median age was 61 years (IQR 53-68) and BMI 27.9 (IQR 25-30.9). The most frequent etiologies were: lichen sclerosus (30.4%), iatrogenic (27%), and idiopathic (25.7%). 62.6% had panurethral stricture. There were no complications in 73%. Clavien I complications occurred in 25.2%, Clavien II in 0.9% and Clavien IVa in 0.9%. The overall success rate was 51.3% with a median follow-up of 71 months. In the last 8 years, it was 75%. In the multivariate analysis, we found that age (p = 0.01), BMI (p = 0.01), date of surgery (p = 0.01), and suprapubic catheter (p = 0.003) were predictive variables. The voiding satisfaction rate was 88.7%. CONCLUSIONS: PU with Blandy technique is a surgery with low morbidity. During the entire study period, it had a failure rate of 48.7% but the failure rate decreased to 25% over the last 8 years. Age, BMI, date of surgery and suprapubic catheter are the most important prognostic factor of failure.


Assuntos
Uretra , Estreitamento Uretral , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Masculino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Constrição Patológica/cirurgia , Prognóstico , Uretra/cirurgia , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Urológicos/métodos , Estreitamento Uretral/etiologia , Estreitamento Uretral/cirurgia , Resultado do Tratamento , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Urológicos Masculinos/métodos
9.
Data Brief ; 42: 108042, 2022 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35313499

RESUMO

A manually classified dataset of images obtained by four static cameras located around a construction site is presented. Eight object classes, typically found in a construction environment, were considered. The dataset consists of 1046 images selected from video footage by a frame extraction algorithm and txt files containing the objects' class and coordinates information. These data can be used to develop computer vision techniques in the engineering and construction fields.

10.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 118(19)2021 May 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33947820

RESUMO

Can every physical system simulate any Turing machine? This is a classical problem that is intimately connected with the undecidability of certain physical phenomena. Concerning fluid flows, Moore [C. Moore, Nonlinearity 4, 199 (1991)] asked if hydrodynamics is capable of performing computations. More recently, Tao launched a program based on the Turing completeness of the Euler equations to address the blow-up problem in the Navier-Stokes equations. In this direction, the undecidability of some physical systems has been studied in recent years, from the quantum gap problem to quantum-field theories. To the best of our knowledge, the existence of undecidable particle paths of three-dimensional fluid flows has remained an elusive open problem since Moore's works in the early 1990s. In this article, we construct a Turing complete stationary Euler flow on a Riemannian [Formula: see text] and speculate on its implications concerning Tao's approach to the blow-up problem in the Navier-Stokes equations.

11.
Cardiovasc Diabetol ; 20(1): 69, 2021 03 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33757510

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: During COVID-19 pandemic, elective invasive cardiac procedures (ICP) have been frequently cancelled or postponed. Consequences may be more evident in patients with diabetes. OBJECTIVES: The objective was to identify the peculiarities of patients with DM among those in whom ICP were cancelled or postponed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as to identify subgroups in which the influence of DM has higher impact on the clinical outcome. METHODS: We included 2,158 patients in whom an elective ICP was cancelled or postponed during COVID-19 pandemic in 37 hospitals in Spain. Among them, 700 (32.4%) were diabetics. Patients with and without diabetes were compared. RESULTS: Patients with diabetes were older and had a higher prevalence of other cardiovascular risk factors, previous cardiovascular history and co-morbidities. Diabetics had a higher mortality (3.0% vs. 1.0%; p = 0.001) and cardiovascular mortality (1.9% vs. 0.4%; p = 0.001). Differences were especially important in patients with valvular heart disease (mortality 6.9% vs 1.7% [p < 0.001] and cardiovascular mortality 4.9% vs 0.9% [p = 0.002] in patients with and without diabetes, respectively). In the multivariable analysis, diabetes remained as an independent risk factor both for overall and cardiovascular mortality. No significant interaction was found with other clinical variables. CONCLUSION: Among patients in whom an elective invasive cardiac procedure is cancelled or postponed during COVID-19 pandemic, mortality and cardiovascular mortality is higher in patients with diabetes, irrespectively on other clinical conditions. These procedures should not be cancelled in patients with diabetes.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Angiografia Coronária , Diabetes Mellitus , Cardiopatias/diagnóstico por imagem , Cardiopatias/terapia , Intervenção Coronária Percutânea , Tempo para o Tratamento , Listas de Espera , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Comorbidade , Bases de Dados Factuais , Diabetes Mellitus/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus/mortalidade , Feminino , Cardiopatias/mortalidade , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Espanha/epidemiologia , Fatores de Tempo , Listas de Espera/mortalidade
12.
Dialect Anthropol ; 45(1): 3-7, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33723473
13.
Epidemiologia (Basel) ; 2(3): 294-304, 2021 Jul 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36417226

RESUMO

The aim of this paper is to infer the effects that change on human mobility had on the transmission dynamics during the first four months of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in Costa Rica, which could have played a role in delaying community transmission in the country. First, by using parametric and non-parametric change-point detection techniques, we were able to identify two different periods when the trend of daily new cases significantly changed. Second, we explored the association of these changes with data on population mobility. This also allowed us to estimate the lag between changes in human mobility and rates of daily new cases. The information was then used to establish an association between changes in population mobility and the sanitary measures adopted during the study period. Results showed that during the initial two months of the pandemic in Costa Rica, the implementation of sanitary measures and their impact on reducing human mobility translated to a mean reduction of 54% in the number of daily cases from the projected number, delaying community transmission.

14.
Catheter Cardiovasc Interv ; 97(5): 927-937, 2021 04 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33336506

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: During COVID-19 pandemic in Spain, elective procedures were canceled or postponed, mainly due to health care systems overwhelming. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to evaluate the consequences of interrupting invasive procedures in patients with chronic cardiac diseases due to the COVID-19 outbreak in Spain. METHODS: The study population is comprised of 2,158 patients that were pending on elective cardiac invasive procedures in 37 hospitals in Spain on the 14th of March 2020, when a state of alarm and subsequent lockdown was declared in Spain due to the COVID-19 pandemic. These patients were followed-up until April 31th. RESULTS: Out of the 2,158 patients, 36 (1.7%) died. Mortality was significantly higher in patients pending on structural procedures (4.5% vs. 0.8%, respectively; p < .001), in those >80 year-old (5.1% vs. 0.7%, p < .001), and in presence of diabetes (2.7% vs. 0.9%, p = .001), hypertension (2.0% vs. 0.6%, p = .014), hypercholesterolemia (2.0% vs. 0.9%, p = .026) [Correction added on December 23, 2020, after first online publication: as per Dr. Moreno's request changes in p-values were made after original publication in Abstract.], chronic renal failure (6.0% vs. 1.2%, p < .001), NYHA > II (3.8% vs. 1.2%, p = .001), and CCS > II (4.2% vs. 1.4%, p = .013), whereas was it was significantly lower in smokers (0.5% vs. 1.9%, p = .013). Multivariable analysis identified age > 80, diabetes, renal failure and CCS > II as independent predictors for mortality. CONCLUSION: Mortality at 45 days during COVID-19 outbreak in patients with chronic cardiovascular diseases included in a waiting list due to cancellation of invasive elective procedures was 1.7%. Some clinical characteristics may be of help in patient selection for being promptly treated when similar situations happen in the future.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Cardíacos/estatística & dados numéricos , Doenças Cardiovasculares/cirurgia , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Eletivos/estatística & dados numéricos , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2 , Listas de Espera , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Comorbidade , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Espanha/epidemiologia
15.
Dialect Anthropol ; 44(3): 233-237, 2020.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35194295
16.
PeerJ ; 7: e7084, 2019.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31211020

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Laminitis is a common equine disease characterized by foot pain, and is commonly diagnosed using a five-grade Obel system developed in 1948 using sepsis-related cases. However, endocrinopathic laminitis is now the most common form of the disease and clinical signs may be mild, or spread across two Obel grades. This paper describes a modified method which assigns scores to discreet clinical signs, providing a wider scale suitable for use in a research setting. METHODS: The "modified Obel" method was developed using an iterative process. First, a prototype method was developed during the detailed observation of 37 ponies undergoing a laminitis induction experiment. The final method was refined and validated using video footage taken during the induction study and from a clinical trial of naturally occurring endocrinopathic laminitis cases. The Obel method was deconstructed and key laminitis signs were evaluated to develop a three-stage, five criteria method that employs a severity scale of 0-12. Veterinarians (n = 28) were recruited to watch and assess 15 video recordings of cases of varying severity, using the Obel and "modified Obel" methods. The inter-observer agreement (reproducibility) was determined using Kendall's coefficient of concordance (Kendall W) and Krippendorf's alpha reliability coefficient. A total of 14 veterinarians repeated the exercise 2-4 weeks after their original assessment, to determine intra-observer agreement (repeatability), assessed using a weighted kappa statistic (kw). Agreement between methods was calculated by converting all "modified Obel" scores to Obel grades and calculating the mean and distribution of the differences. RESULTS: The "modified Obel" and Obel methods showed excellent and similar inter-observer agreement based on the Kendall W value (0.87, P < 0.001 vs. 0.85, P < 0.001) and Krippendorf's alpha (95% CI) value (0.83 [0.53-0.90] vs. 0.77 [0.55-0.85]). Based on the kw value, the "modified Obel" method also had substantial repeatability, although slightly less than the Obel method, (0.80 vs. 0.91). Excellent agreement between the methods was found, with the mean difference (95% CI), comparing the Obel grade, with the "modified Obel" score converted to an Obel grade, being -0.12 (-0.19 to -0.06) grades. The Obel and converted "modified Obel" grades were identical 62% of the time (259/420) and a difference of one grade (higher or lower) occurred in 35% of cases (148/420). CONCLUSION: Both methods show excellent agreement, reproducibility and repeatability when used to diagnose endocrinopathic laminitis. The "modified Obel" method is a three-step examination process for severity-scoring of endocrinopathic laminitis, initially proposed for use within a research setting. When using the modified method a diagnosis of laminitis also requires clinical acumen. The allocation of scores for specific clinical signs should be particularly useful in research trials monitoring laminitis recovery.

17.
J Cardiovasc Pharmacol ; 69(4): 192-197, 2017 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28375903

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The risk-benefit of antithrombotic treatment (ATT) has not been established in patients on dialysis. Our objective was to determine the influence of ATT on the risk of hemorrhage in patients on hemodialysis. METHODS: We included patients who began dialysis between 2003 and 2007. We determined the rates of fatal bleeding or bleeding leading to hospitalization or transfusion. RESULTS: Two hundred twenty-one patients were included. Over the follow-up period (45.5 ± 34 months), there were 76 hemorrhages in 52 patients. There were 10 fatal bleedings. The annual incidence of patients presenting with hemorrhagia was 6.2%. Bleeding occurred in 5.2% of those being treated with aspirin, 7% with acenocumarol, 12.3% with clopidogrel, 15.2% with aspirin + clopidogrel, 45.9% with anticoagulants + antiplatelets, 49.6% with low-molecular-weight heparin, and 3.9% without ATT. On multivariate analysis, masculine gender [hazard ratio (HR): 2.421; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.261-4.650; P = 0.003], treatment with dicumarins (HR: 2.406; 95% CI, 1.013-5.718; P = 0.047), treatment with clopidogrel (HR: 2.697; 95% CI, 1.440-5.051; P = 0.002), and treatment with low-molecular-weight heparin (HR: 21.463; 95% CI, 9.067-50.806; P = 0.001) were independent predictors of bleeding. CONCLUSIONS: ATT increases the risk of bleeding in patients on hemodialysis. The incidence of hemorrhage varies with the type of antithrombotics used.


Assuntos
Fibrinolíticos/efeitos adversos , Hemorragia/induzido quimicamente , Falência Renal Crônica/terapia , Diálise Renal/efeitos adversos , Diálise Renal/tendências , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Anticoagulantes/efeitos adversos , Feminino , Seguimentos , Hemorragia/diagnóstico , Humanos , Falência Renal Crônica/diagnóstico , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Resultado do Tratamento , Adulto Jovem
18.
J Clin Med Ther ; 2(4)2017.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31058274

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Limitations regarding the sensitivity and specificity of the systemic inflammatory response (SIRS) criteria prompted the recent revision in consensus definitions of sepsis and septic shock. We evaluated patients with Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia (SAB) who did not meet SIRS criteria for sepsis (SIRS-negative, SIRS-N) to compare host immune response and outcomes with SIRS-positive (P) patients. METHODS: A prospective observational study of patients hospitalized for SAB during 2012-2015 was conducted. Pro- (TNFα, IL6, IL8) and anti-inflammatory (IL10) cytokine levels (pg/mL) were compared between SIRS-N and SIRS-P patients. Outcome endpoints were day 4 persistence and 30-day mortality. RESULTS: Of the 353 study patients, 23% were SIRS-N. A similar proportion of SIRS-N and SIRS-P patients had an infection-related admitting diagnosis (70% vs. 66%, p=0.5946), and both groups received timely antibiotic administration. Less than 1/3 of SIRS-N group had abnormal WBC count, tachycardia, or tachypnea while <15% had fever/hypothermia or hypotension. Initial proand anti-inflammatory cytokine levels were significantly lower and in balance as indicated by IL10/TNF ratio in SIRS-N compared to SIRS-P patients. IL10/TNF ratio increased progressively in patients with increasing sepsis severity and mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Clinical management of patients with SAB seemed driven largely by clinician assessment rather than SIRS criteria alone, with one in 4 patients not meeting SIRS criteria. Importantly, the severity of presentation and outcomes of SAB correspond well to the magnitude of underlying imbalance in pro- and anti-inflammatory cytokine levels, supporting the updated sepsis definition as "life-threatening organ dysfunction caused by a dysregulated host response to infection". KEY POINTS: In a prospective observational study of 353 patients with Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia, 23% did not meet SIRS criteria for sepsis. Severity of sepsis and risk of death is supported by a dysregulated host cytokine response with progressively increasing IL10/TNF ratio.

19.
Med Princ Pract ; 25(4): 329-35, 2016.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26938716

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to determine the incidence of acute renal failure secondary to rhabdomyolysis (ARFSR) as a complication of major urological surgery (MUS), as well as to describe the clinical characteristics and identify possible risk and protective factors. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Cases of ARFSR due to MUS between January 1997 and August 2011 were identified using the institutional database. The incidence was estimated and the clinical characteristics were analyzed using simple scatterplot graphs to identify possible risk and protective factors. RESULTS: In this period, 14,337 MUS procedures were performed, in which 4 cases suffered from ARFSR (the incidence rate was 0.03%). The incidence rates after radical cystectomy and urethroplasty were 0.26% (3/1,175 cases) and 0.15% (1/651 cases), respectively. No case of rhabdomyolysis was reported among the patients who underwent other major surgical procedures. Two patients required dialysis, and all 4 patients recovered to their baseline renal function at an average of 11 days (7-17) with the appropriate treatment. Male gender, younger age, lower ASA score, prolonged operative time, high body mass index, elevated preoperative serum creatinine and estimated blood loss were possible risk factors for developing ARFSR due to MUS. We found that a higher intraoperative administered volume was a possible protective factor. The operative position and type of surgery seemed to play minor roles. Early diagnosis and treatment possibly leads to an improved outcome. CONCLUSION: In our study, ARFSR due to MUS was a rare entity and had a good prognosis. It was more frequent as a complication of radical cystectomy. Further studies are required to confirm our findings.


Assuntos
Injúria Renal Aguda/etiologia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/epidemiologia , Rabdomiólise/complicações , Rabdomiólise/etiologia , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Urológicos/efeitos adversos , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Perda Sanguínea Cirúrgica , Feminino , Hospitais com Alto Volume de Atendimentos , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Duração da Cirurgia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Sexismo
20.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 113(8): 2035-40, 2016 Feb 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26864201

RESUMO

We prove that any regular integral invariant of volume-preserving transformations is equivalent to the helicity. Specifically, given a functional I defined on exact divergence-free vector fields of class C(1) on a compact 3-manifold that is associated with a well-behaved integral kernel, we prove that I is invariant under arbitrary volume-preserving diffeomorphisms if and only if it is a function of the helicity.

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